So far this fall, the conditions for vibrant colors have been mixed.

Crisp sunshine prevails Thursday as high pressure passes overhead. Once it leaves though, a two-pronged low-pressure system will quickly fill in, bringing another wet end to the week.

We will start our day with a mix of sun and clouds, leftovers from last night’s system that just nicked us. Either way, it will be a pleasant start to the daytime. By late morning, the clouds will clear out, and we’ll have a sunny day. With northwest winds, temperatures take a step down from the mild Wednesday. Highs this time will be in the mid 50s — not mild, but still seasonable for early November. Any outdoor plans will be a go.

As we go into the evening, clouds will increase. Temperatures will bottom out in the low to mid 40s during the evening. On Wednesday, I talked about the double-barreled low, where an upper-level low builds down to the surface (in the interior Northeast) while another surface low is at play (near the coast). That still holds true.

Rain showers will start between 8 and 11 a.m. Friday. Any outdoor work should be focused to the morning, as it will just be of the hit-or-miss variety. The rain will then become steadier during the afternoon as the low pressure passes closest.

Winds will be stiff during the day, blowing from the southeast during the morning. This will likely bring a round of minor stage coastal flooding to the region. Then, winds flip to the northwest during the evening, ending the flooding threat.

On land, rainfall totals of .50 to 1 inch will be likely. Poor drainage flooding will be a concern, but it will be nothing out of the ordinary for rains like this. Most of us will be fine.

The rain will then end during the evening Friday, likely by midnight. Then, chilly Canadian air will rush in. High temperatures likely occur at midnight, around 50 degrees. With strong northwest winds Saturday, even the increasing sunshine will not be enough to keep temperatures around 50 during the day.

Once the sun goes down, the winds will subside, but that’ll just give us the end to the growing season in all of mainland South Jersey. It will be winter coat weather, with lows in the upper 20s Sunday morning!

Sunday will then struggle to reach 50 degrees under plenty of calm sun.

Finally, do note the changes to the weather graphics. Now that the pollen is almost done and the frizz is over (well, most days). Welcome the arthritis index, weather trivia, and, finally, the snow tracker to the column.


This is my first newspaper but not my first forecast for NJ. I graduated with a B.S. in Meteorology from Rutgers. Two TV internships gave me a taste for the newsroom. Then, after nearly 4 years in private NJ weather, I'm forecasting South Jersey for you.

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