A deck off the great room overlooks a canal that leads out to Barnegat Bay.

Two weekends ago, it was extremely hot. Last weekend was comfortably cool.

This weekend, to borrow from Goldilocks, will be just right.

Because it is mid-July, just right for us is a high around 86 degrees, with a low of 67. Humidity, too, often accompanies this. In this case, we’ll have something for everybody, soupy and non-soupy weather lovers alike.

Let’s start with Saturday, the less humid of the two weekend days. Actually, it will be just the kind of weather that sends the masses outside. A westerly wind will blow in a warm, but not uncomfortable air mass, working around a high-pressure system in Newfoundland. High temperature? 87 on the mainland (toward 90 near Hammonton) and 81 at the shore.

A cold front will then approach the region Saturday night. The evening is looking beautiful for most anything that involves summer evenings, extra clouds will just build in. After midnight, though, there will be showers/storms in the northern half of the state. One or two may sneak down to about the Route 40 corridor, but that would be all. Lows will be 67-72 degrees.

For Sunday, we start to tap into southwest winds at all layers of the atmosphere. That will drive up the heat and humidity. Any shower/storm would be early Sunday morning. Then, we’ll see a mix of sun and clouds. High temperatures around 90 on the mainland are likely, with the shore in the mid 80s. The dew point will be in the upper 60s. The soupy weather will likely kick up isolated showers/storms. However, it won’t be enough to cancel outdoor plans and the beaches may very well be dry.

Monday will take another step up in the mugginess. It will be sultry, as dew points hover around 70 and mainland highs stay around 90. The heat index will top out near 100. There will be plenty of sun to go around, too. We do drop the shower/storm risk, but barely.

Lastly, yellow flags are likely on the beaches for a moderate risk of rip currents Saturday.

meaning conditions are rough but not life-threatening. In addition, minor flood stage is expected for most areas (except Barnegat Bay) during the p.m. high tide Saturday evening. Sunday will see most places drop below flood stage.


This is my first newspaper but not my first forecast for NJ. I graduated with a B.S. in Meteorology from Rutgers. Two TV internships gave me a taste for the newsroom. Then, after nearly 4 years in private NJ weather, I'm forecasting South Jersey for you.