Valentine's Day Weather

South Jersey and Mother Nature will be in a messy romance Valentine’s Day and for the rest of the week. The thermometer will be feeling the love with warmer weather but a stormy pattern is coming up.

The upper level pattern over the United States has been about the same for all the month of February.

A trough, or area of lower pressure, has been situated in the West. This has brought many below average days out there, while we have been making up for our potent cold streak from the end of December and the beginning of January. We can thank the southeast ridge for that.

The southeast ridge is an area of higher pressure off Florida. Since high pressure spins clockwise, we get under a warming, southwesterly wind. This can happen for days at a time, which is what we are experiencing now.

Highs Wednesday will be in the low to mid-50s across the region. Temperatures will drop into the 40s during the evening, but then rise all Wednesday night.

A weak system will then begin showers around midnight. These will be light, scattered and quick hitting. By the time the morning commute arrives, all will be dry.

We then get a gift from Mother Nature. We will be dry during the day Thursday, in-between two systems. Southwest winds will continue to pump in Thursday. As a result, those on the mainland and away from the Delaware Bay will likely be entering record-high territory. It will be T-shirt weather, with a high of 67! The current record is 65 degrees.

A slow-moving cold front will then enter Thursday evening. Rain will begin around midnight. As the front sags southeast, rain will be heaviest during the Friday pre-dawn hours.

Luckily, it will become more scattered for the morning commute. This rain will likely linger.

So, while I will not call it a washout, outdoor work may not be great, even during the afternoon, despite a high in the low 60s.


This is my first newspaper but not my first forecast for NJ. I graduated with a B.S. in Meteorology from Rutgers. Two TV internships gave me a taste for the newsroom. Then, after nearly 4 years in private NJ weather, I'm forecasting South Jersey for you.